Week 3 Fantasy Streamers Ryan Fitzpatrick tops list
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Week 3 Fantasy Streamers: Ryan Fitzpatrick tops list Published: Sep 18, 2018 at 10:06 AM Graham Barfield Fantasy Managing Editor Streaming your starting QB, TE, or D/ST isn't the goal in . But, if you're weak at a position where you only have to start one player, picking up usable fantasy weeks from the waiver wire can be a beneficial proce s. In typical start-one quarterback, tight end, and D/ST 12-team formats, most of your league mates won't -- and shouldn't -- carry a backup QB or D/ST. Positional scarcity leaves the waiver wire flush with plausible weekly starting options based on their matchup and expected game-flow. Simply put, because quarterback and defensive matchups are easier to predict and their output varies le s on a weekly basis, sharp fantasy owners have an edge in their leagues if they can stream their "onesie" positions (usually their defense) better than their opponent. That's what this column is all about. Here are your Week 3 streamers: Quarterbacks Floor and Ceiling: vs. (81 percent available) No one saw this coming. Through two games against the and , has caught absolute fire. In Week 1 against New Orleans, "Fitzmagic" threw for 417 yards, four TDs, and completed 75 percent of his pa ses. In Week 2 against Philadelphia, Fitzpatrick went off again, this time against an even better defense: 402 yards, four TDs, and an unreal 82 percent completion rate. Now, touchdown regre sion is coming. In his two nuclear performances, Fitzpatrick has thrown a touchdown on an other-worldly 13.1 percent of his pa ses. The average pa sing touchdown rate over the last four years is 4.5 percent while Fitzmagic's career TD rate is 4.4 percent. What's more, per Next Gen Stats, Fitzpatrick's expected completion percentage in Weeks 1-2 is 65 percent -- but he's Elgin Baylor Jersey completed 79 percent! Next Gen Stats' completion probability explains how difficult (or not) a pa s attempt was. E sentially, Fitzpatrick has been both lethally accurate and certainly lucky on his pa ses thus far. Still, this is not the week to get off of the Fitzpatrick train. In Weeks 1-2, the have allowed a QB6 fantasy performance to and were just demolished for six pa sing scores and a QB2 finish from . Fitzpatrick is going to crash back to earth some, but the Bucs have the best supporting cast that Fitzpatrick has ever played with, by far. This is real. Fitzpatrick is a top-12 quarterback play for Week 3, and easily the best Week 3 streamer. Deep: at Arizona (95 percent available) Unlike , ' second-year QB has not gotten off to a fast start through the air. In Weeks 1-2, Trubisky has averaged just 5.4 Pa s YPA (second-worst) while only throwing for 171 and 200 yards against the and , respectively. It's not like Trubisky's receivers aren't open, either. Per Next Gen Stats, Trubisky has thrown into a tight window on just 13 percent of his throws so far. The NFL average is 16 percent. Even though Trubisky has been far from efficient in Weeks 1-2, he has to be on the streaming radar in Week 3 against Arizona. To start the year, the Cards have allowed two back-to-back QB13 weekly fantasy performances to and . 73 percent of pa ses thrown into Arizona's pa s coverage have been completed, the seventh-highest rate in the NFL. Per Next Gen Stats, the Cards have allowed a 104.6 pa ser rating (fifth-highest) while just 9.7 percent of throws into coverage have been through a tight window (third-fewest). Trubisky is lightly-owned acro s fantasy leagues and has a dream matchup against perhaps the worst team in the league this week. Tight Ends It's been a bizarre start to the season for fantasy tight ends. We've already lost (foot) for multiple weeks, and (ankle) is on injured reserve. Right now, (35.9), (33.8), and (32.7) are your top-three scoring TEs in PPR formats after two games. Isn't fantasy fun?! Seriously, though -- most squads are already hurting at the tight end spot. Tight end streaming isn't the goal, but sharp owners without a stud are likely going to have to turn to the wire more than a few times this year for production. This week, there are three stream-worthy TEs: Floor: Ben Watson at Atlanta (95 percent available) Even at 37-years-old, Ben Watson is commanding a significant role in the ' attack. In Weeks 1-2, Watson has played on 81 percent of New Orleans offensive plays and he's seen at least one red zone target in each game so far. Now, Watson gets a Deion Jones- and Keanu Neal-le s ' defense in an expected Week 3 shootout. Watson saw four targets in Week 1 (4/44 receiving) and five targets in Week 2 (3/19 receiving). Ceiling: vs. New Orleans (97 percent available) Alex Caruso Jersey It's been a rough start for the defense. Against the Bucs and , the have allowed a gargantuan 11.4 pa s YPA, coughed up a 126.6 pa ser rating to enemy QBs, and forced pre sure on just 18 percent of pa s plays (fourth-lowest rate), per Next Gen Stats. is by no means a huge part of Atlanta's pa sing attack -- he's seen four and five targets in Weeks 1-2, respectively -- but he's a free avenue to attack New Orleans' faltering aerial defense. Hooper has seen at least one red-zone target in each game so far and is third behind and in pa s routes run in Atlanta. Deep: and at Tampa Bay (97 percent available) After mi sing most of the preseason and Opening Day, McDonald returned from a foot injury in Week 2 and subsequently split time with . In his 2018 debut, McDonald drew five targets and actually ran more pa s routes (34) than James (31). Both TEs will likely cancel each other out for fantasy over the long run, but if you're truly desperate in Week 3 -- McDonald and James both have forecastable upside. The Bucs' secondary just allowed 5/59 to TEs in Week 1 and were whacked for 15/151 receiving against and backup TE, , in Week 2. Defenses Floor: D/ST at (51 percent available) Chicago's D/ST should not be available in any leagues. Through two games, the defense has scored 14 and 17 fantasy points against Green Bay and Seattle, respectively. In fact, the ' re-worked front seven with superstar has gotten off to a stellar, near-perfect start. Chicago leads all teams in sacks (10) and limited the usually high-powered and ' offenses to just 5.28 yards per play (11th-fewest). Now, they get to face a lifele s side that can't sustain drives or move the ball efficiently. Fire them up with loads of confidence. Ceiling: D/ST at (90 percent available) The offensive line has already surrendered an astronomical 12 sacks through their first two games, allowing six sacks each to both Denver and Chicago. Now, the 'Boys don't have or -- the two best EDGE rushers in the NFL -- getting after the quarterback. But, Dallas' front seven led by has already forced nine sacks (second-most) and allowed just 29 offensive points (third-fewest) in Weeks 1-2. In fact, Dallas' defense limited the and to just 4.32 yards per play in their opening two games -- the second-best clip in the league behind Baltimore (4.02 YPP allowed). The ' D/ST has plenty of sack-based upside in Week 3, but the only concern is that they play on the road. Over the last three years, visiting defenses average -0.3 fantasy points below expectation while Montrezl Harrell Jersey enemy fantasy D/ST's have put up only 6.1 points per game on the road against the over the last three seasons. Deep: D/ST vs. on TNF (94 percent available) Wait a second. The ... have a defense? In Weeks 1-2, Cleveland has held its own, limiting and to a fairly measly 79.3 Pa ser Rating (10th-lowest), per Next Gen Stats. Now, the have only generated 15 pre sures -- but they are getting home when they do get the quarterback under dure s. Cleveland followed up its four-sack, six-turnover performance in Week 1 with a three-sack showing on the road against ' . It's an impre sive start. The have limited enemy offenses to just 5.28 yards per play so far -- the same clip as the (11th-fewest). After being torched by the deep ball repeatedly in 2017, Cleveland has allowed just one pa s (out of seven attempts) over 20 air yards to be completed in Weeks 1-2. They are an attractive D/ST dart on Thursday Night Football against the rookie, . This article has been reproduced in a new format and may be mi sing content or contain faulty links. Please use the Contact Us link in our site footer to report an i sue.
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